{"id":3499,"date":"2020-09-23T12:13:55","date_gmt":"2020-09-23T12:13:55","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/one.peakteam.co\/?p=3499"},"modified":"2024-07-15T16:38:11","modified_gmt":"2024-07-15T16:38:11","slug":"leveraging-the-lindy-effect","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/heritagema.com\/zh\/\u5229\u7528\u6797\u8fea\u6548\u5e94\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5229\u7528\u6797\u8fea\u6548\u5e94\uff1a\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u8d2d\u4e70\u4f01\u4e1a\u662f\u901a\u5f80\u6210\u529f\u4e4b\u8def\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"3499\" class=\"elementor elementor-3499\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-6b81e0d3 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"6b81e0d3\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-7cd252a6\" data-id=\"7cd252a6\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-58c4f820 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"58c4f820\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><strong><i>\u5728\u4e0d\u65ad\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u521b\u4e1a\u73af\u5883\u4e2d\uff0c\u6709\u4e00\u6761\u539f\u5219\u582a\u79f0\u6c38\u6052\u667a\u6167\u7684\u706f\u5854\uff1a\u6797\u8fea\u6548\u5e94\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u6982\u5ff5\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u6210\u529f\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u8d8a\u957f\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u5c31\u8d8a\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u7ee7\u7eed\u84ec\u52c3\u53d1\u5c55\u3002\u5728\u4f01\u4e1a\u6240\u6709\u6743\u9886\u57df\uff0c\u5229\u7528\u6797\u8fea\u6548\u5e94\u7684\u529b\u91cf\uff0c\u5c31\u6709\u7406\u7531\u8d2d\u4e70\u4e00\u4e2a\u6210\u719f\u7684\u4f01\u4e1a\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u8e0f\u4e0a\u4ece\u96f6\u5f00\u59cb\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u65c5\u7a0b\u3002<\/i><\/strong><\/p><h4><strong>\u4e86\u89e3\u6797\u8fea\u6548\u5e94<\/strong><\/h4><p>\u6797\u8fea\u6548\u5e94\uff0c\u4ee5\u8457\u540d\u7684 <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Lindy%27s\">\u7433\u8fea\u719f\u98df\u5e97<\/a> \u5728\u9996\u6b21\u63d0\u51fa\u8fd9\u4e00\u6982\u5ff5\u7684\u7ebd\u7ea6\u5e02\uff0c\u6709\u4e00\u9879\u7814\u7a76\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u4e00\u79cd\u73b0\u8c61\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u65f6\u95f4\u957f\u77ed\u53ef\u4ee5\u53ef\u9760\u5730\u9884\u6d4b\u5176\u672a\u6765\u7684\u6301\u4e45\u6027\u3002\u4ece\u5b9e\u9645\u610f\u4e49\u4e0a\u8bb2\uff0c\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u62e5\u6709\u6210\u529f\u8bb0\u5f55\u7684\u4f01\u4e1a\u66f4\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u7ecf\u4e45\u4e0d\u8870\u3001\u957f\u76db\u4e0d\u8870\u3002<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-9e08435 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"9e08435\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-76fcef1\" data-id=\"76fcef1\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-b97b14e elementor-widget__width-initial elementor-widget elementor-widget-ld_fancy_image\" data-id=\"b97b14e\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"ld_fancy_image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t<div class=\"lqd-imggrp-single d-block pos-rel\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"lqd-imggrp-img-container d-inline-flex pos-rel align-items-center justify-content-center\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<figure class=\"w-100 pos-rel\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"2912\" height=\"1632\" src=\"https:\/\/heritagema.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/H4.png\" class=\"attachment-full size-full wp-image-8704\" alt=\"\u9057\u4ea7\u535a\u6587\u7b2c 3 \u671f\" srcset=\"https:\/\/heritagema.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/H4.png 2912w, https:\/\/heritagema.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/H4-300x168.png 300w, https:\/\/heritagema.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/H4-1024x574.png 1024w, https:\/\/heritagema.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/H4-18x10.png 18w, https:\/\/heritagema.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/H4-1536x861.png 1536w, https:\/\/heritagema.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/H4-2048x1148.png 2048w, https:\/\/heritagema.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/H4-1250x700.png 1250w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2912px) 100vw, 2912px\" itemprop=\"image\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/figure>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-91ec91c elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"91ec91c\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-26534b4\" data-id=\"26534b4\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-5212e7c elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"5212e7c\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h4><strong>\u8d2d\u4e70\u80dc\u4e8e\u521b\u4e1a\u7684\u667a\u6167<\/strong><\/h4><p>\u5bf9\u4e8e\u6709\u62b1\u8d1f\u7684\u521b\u4e1a\u8005\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u6797\u8fea\u6548\u5e94\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u901a\u5f80\u6210\u529f\u7684\u6700\u8c28\u614e\u9014\u5f84\u7684\u5b9d\u8d35\u89c1\u89e3\u3002\u8d2d\u4e70\u4e00\u5bb6\u5df2\u8bc1\u660e\u5177\u6709\u76c8\u5229\u80fd\u529b\u548c\u5e94\u53d8\u80fd\u529b\u7684\u73b0\u6709\u4f01\u4e1a\uff0c\u7b26\u5408\u6797\u8fea\u6548\u5e94\u7684\u539f\u5219\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u53bb\u52aa\u529b\u5e94\u5bf9\u542f\u52a8\u4e00\u5bb6\u65b0\u4f01\u4e1a\u6240\u56fa\u6709\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u548c\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u3002 <strong>\u6797\u8fea\u6548\u5e94<\/strong>.<\/p><h4><strong>\u65e2\u5b9a\u6210\u529f\u7684\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u3002<\/strong><\/h4><p>\u5f53\u60a8\u8d2d\u4e70\u4e00\u5bb6\u4f01\u4e1a\u65f6\uff0c\u60a8\u4e0d\u4ec5\u4ec5\u662f\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u5b83\u7684\u8d44\u4ea7\u548c\u4e1a\u52a1\uff0c\u60a8\u8fd8\u7ee7\u627f\u4e86\u591a\u5e74\u6765\u7684\u5949\u732e\u3001\u521b\u65b0\u548c\u9002\u5e94\u80fd\u529b\u6240\u94f8\u5c31\u7684\u6210\u529f\u4f20\u7edf\u3002\u521d\u521b\u4f01\u4e1a\u9762\u4e34\u7740\u8bc1\u660e\u5176\u5e02\u573a\u751f\u5b58\u80fd\u529b\u7684\u8270\u5de8\u6311\u6218\uff0c\u4e0e\u4e4b\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u6210\u719f\u4f01\u4e1a\u5177\u6709\u4e00\u5b9a\u7a0b\u5ea6\u7684\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u548c\u7a33\u5b9a\u6027\uff0c\u8fd9\u5bf9\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u548c\u521b\u4e1a\u8005\u5177\u6709\u5185\u5728\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002<\/p><h4><strong>\u964d\u4f4e\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u628a\u63e1\u673a\u9047\u3002<\/strong><\/h4><p>\u901a\u8fc7\u6536\u8d2d\u4f01\u4e1a\u5229\u7528\u6797\u8fea\u6548\u5e94\uff0c\u521b\u4e1a\u8005\u53ef\u4ee5\u66f4\u81ea\u4fe1\u3001\u66f4\u6e05\u6670\u5730\u964d\u4f4e\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u6293\u4f4f\u673a\u9047\u3002\u4e0e\u5728\u672a\u77e5\u9886\u57df\u7684\u9669\u6ee9\u4e2d\u8dcb\u6d89\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u8d2d\u4e70\u4f01\u4e1a\u53ef\u4ee5\u8ba9\u60a8\u5229\u7528\u6210\u719f\u7684\u6210\u529f\u6a21\u5f0f\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u6700\u5927\u9650\u5ea6\u5730\u51cf\u5c11\u521b\u4e1a\u56fa\u6709\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u3002<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-fe10b76 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"fe10b76\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-acf9815\" data-id=\"acf9815\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-ad9247f elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"ad9247f\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<blockquote class=\"h1 m-0 lh-1\"><p><strong><span style=\"font-size: 36px; line-height: 1em;\">\"\u6797\u8fea\u6548\u5e94\"\uff1a\u6210\u529f\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u8d8a\u957f\uff0c\u6210\u529f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u5c31\u8d8a\u5927\u3002\u8fd9\u5c31\u662f\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u4f60\u5e94\u8be5\u8d2d\u4e70\u4f01\u4e1a\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u521b\u529e\u4f01\u4e1a\u7684\u539f\u56e0\"\u3002\"<\/span><\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-d5f0ee2 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"d5f0ee2\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-db3a42c\" data-id=\"db3a42c\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-da7860b elementor-widget elementor-widget-ld_blog\" data-id=\"da7860b\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"ld_blog.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"lqd-lp-grid da7860b blog-id-229082635\"><div class=\"lqd-lp-row row pos-rel d-flex flex-wrap\" ><div class=\"lqd-lp-column d-flex flex-column col-md-12 blog-single\"><article id=\"post-6072\" class=\"lqd-lp pos-rel lqd-lp lqd-lp-style-21 d-flex flex-wrap text-start post-6072 post type-post status-publish format-standard has-post-thumbnail hentry category-blog-single tag-business-succesion tag-heritage-insights tag-ma\">\n<div class=\"lqd-lp-img w-sm-35 w-100 pos-rel overflow-hidden mb-4 mb-sm-0\">\n\t<figure class=\"lqd-overlay\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"700\" height=\"450\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;charset=utf-8,%3Csvg xmlns%3D&#039;http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg&#039; viewBox%3D&#039;0 0 700 450&#039;%2F%3E\" class=\"w-100 ld-lazyload wp-post-image\" alt=\"\u4f20\u7edf\u535a\u5ba2\u6587\u7ae0\u5e76\u8d2d\u900f\u89c6\" itemprop=\"image\" data-src=\"https:\/\/heritagema.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/Rectangle-19-700x450.png\" data-aspect=\"1.5555555555556\" \/><div class=\"lqd-overlay d-flex align-items-center justify-content-center\"><i class=\"lqd-icn-ess icon-md-arrow-forward\"><\/i><\/div><\/figure><\/div>\n\n<div class=\"lqd-lp-contents w-sm-65 w-100 pl-sm-6 pl-md-9 pr-sm-5 d-flex flex-column\">\n\n\t<header class=\"lqd-lp-header\">\n\t\t<div class=\"lqd-lp-meta d-flex align-items-center justify-content-between text-uppercase ltr-sp-1 mb-3\">\n\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">\u6807\u7b7e <\/span><ul class=\"lqd-lp-cat lqd-lp-cat reset-ul inline-ul pos-rel z-index-3\"><li><a href=\"https:\/\/heritagema.com\/zh\/category\/\u535a\u5ba2\u5355\/\" rel=\"category\">\u5355\u4eba\u535a\u5ba2<\/a><\/li><\/ul>\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<h2 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href=\"https:\/\/heritagema.com\/zh\/\u91ca\u653e\u6b27\u6d32\u4e2d\u5c0f\u4f01\u4e1a\u548c\u5bb6\u65cf\u4f01\u4e1a\u7684\u6f5c\u529b\/\" class=\"lqd-lp-overlay-link lqd-overlay lqd-cc-label-trigger z-index-2\" tab-index=\"-1\"><\/a><\/article><\/div><\/div><!--\/ .row --><\/div><!--\/ .lqd-lp-grid -->\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-efdeac5 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"efdeac5\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-4a5fab8\" data-id=\"4a5fab8\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-cc494ed elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"cc494ed\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h4><a title=\"\u9996\u9875\" href=\"https:\/\/heritagema.com\/zh\/\"><strong>\u9057\u4ea7\u5e76\u8d2d\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u7684\u4f5c\u7528<\/strong><\/a><\/h4><p>\u5728 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